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From: stephan@...
To: [email protected]
Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2025 08:03:14 GMT
Subject: Gas to Power Weekly - 10 October - Higher margin, lower emissions gives US LNG an edge over coal; German energy storage build-out undermines CCGT economics

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Email from Gas to Power Journal Our weekly update covering everything you need to know about Natural Gas Power Generation LEAD ARTICLE Higher margin, lower emissions gives US LNG an edge over coal US LNG outperforms coal in economic terms and carbon intensity when evaluated over its full lifecycle for power generation. Two-thirds of US LNG originates from Haynesville and Northeast basins, where drier gas production with less associated liquids create more favourable emission profiles. Methane intensities in Haynesville average below 1% compared to 1.7% in the Permian basin, Wood Mackenzie finds. Yet, as multiple new liquefaction and export capacity starts operation, the contribution of feedgas from the Permian is forecast to rise to 19%. DOWNLOAD NOW << C O M P A N I E S JERA sells stake in Ohio IPP to US investment firm   L E A D - T I M E S Turbine shortage threatens power project timelines in Southeast Asia   T E C H N O L O G Y DEWA, Siemens Energy launch phase 2 of Plant Intelligent Controller Scaling up onsite power gen with CCS Ansaldo electrolyser to drive green H2 plant in Italy   P R O J E C T S Xcel to add 5 GW capacity in Texas and New Mexico     Turbine shortage threatens power project timelines in Southeast Asia Large production backlogs are causing a global shortage of gas turbines which delays and inflates costs of gas-fired power projects in Vietnam and  the Philippines. Some turbine makers advise developers to plan 7-8 years ahead for turbine procurement. The Philippines is unlikely to commission any new LNG-fired power plants this decade. Although one project in Batangas is expected to begin full operations this year, the country’s remaining 10.7 gigawatts (GW) of proposed capacity remain in early development and have yet to secure turbine orders, a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds. In Vietnam, the government’s 2030 targets for 25.2 GW domestic gas and LNG-fired capacity are slipping. Two projects are confirmed to have turbine contracts in place, but both cannot reach financial close due to missing power purchase agreements, gas supply deals, and government payment guarantees. “Turbine backlogs add to a lengthy list of regulatory and financial challenges delaying gas-to-power projects in Vietnam and the Philippines. Meanwhile, the rapid expansion of low-cost renewables and storage could ultimately limit the long-term role for gas and LNG,” warned Sam Reynolds, LNG/Gas Research Lead for IEEFA Asia. All operational gas-fired plants in both countries use turbines from GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, and MHI, which since 2015collectively supply around 90% of global heavy-duty turbine orders. The three major turbine makers all plan to scale up manufacturing capacity to meet surging global demand: GE Vernova is expanding its factories in Greenville, U.S. and Belfort, France, to boost heavy-duty turbine output. Siemens Energy has stated it will increase production efficiency and staffing at its Berlin and Charlotte factories. MHI is investing in new production lines at its Takasago Works in Japan to shorten delivery lead times. But analysts doubt these expansions will ease short-term shortages due to persistent constraints in materials, components, and skilled labour. On the contrary, ramping up manufacturing capacity quickly could expose manufacturers to financial risk, if utilities start favouring solar PV and energy storage over turbine-driven fossil power generation. Enjoyed your free read? Consider a trial subscription     Follow us on social media Gas to Power Journal | 39-41 North Road | London, N79DP GB Unsubscribe | Update Profile | Constant Contact Data Notice

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text-align: left; font-family: Arial,Verdana,Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #403F42; font-size: 14px; display: block; word-wrap: break-word; padding: 10px 20px 10px 10px;" align="left" valign="top"> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(8, 40, 206); font-weight: bold;">LEAD ARTICLE</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 18px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-weight: bold;">Higher margin, lower emissions gives US LNG an edge over coal</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">US LNG outperforms coal in economic terms and carbon intensity when evaluated over its full lifecycle for power generation. Two-thirds of US LNG originates from Haynesville and Northeast basins, where drier gas production with less associated liquids create more favourable emission profiles.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Methane intensities in Haynesville average below 1% compared to 1.7% in the Permian basin, Wood Mackenzie finds. 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height: 10px;">&#x200a;</div> <table class="text text--padding-vertical" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="table-layout: fixed;"> <tr> <td class="text_content-cell content-padding-horizontal" style="text-align: left; font-family: Arial,Verdana,Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #403F42; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.2; display: block; word-wrap: break-word; padding: 10px 20px;" align="left" valign="top"><p style="margin: 0;"><br></p></td> </tr> </table> </td> <td class="column column--2 scale stack" style="width: 65%;" align="center" valign="top"> <table class="text text--article text--padding-vertical" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="table-layout: fixed;"> <tr> <td class="text_content-cell content-padding-horizontal" style="line-height: 1.2; text-align: left; font-family: Arial,Verdana,Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #403F42; font-size: 14px; display: block; word-wrap: break-word; padding: 10px 20px;" align="left" valign="top"> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 18px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-weight: bold;">Turbine shortage threatens power project timelines in Southeast Asia&#xa0;</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Large production backlogs are causing a global shortage of gas turbines which delays and inflates costs of gas-fired power projects in Vietnam and &#xfeff;<span><br></span>&#xfeff;the Philippines. Some turbine makers advise developers to plan 7-8 years ahead for&#xa0;turbine procurement.&#xa0;</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">The Philippines is unlikely to commission any new LNG-fired power plants this decade. Although one project in Batangas is expected to begin full operations this year, the country&#x2019;s remaining 10.7 gigawatts (GW) of proposed capacity remain in early development and have yet to secure turbine orders, a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and&#xa0;Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">In Vietnam, the government&#x2019;s 2030&#xa0;targets for 25.2 GW domestic gas and&#xa0;LNG-fired capacity are slipping. Two projects are confirmed to have turbine contracts in place, but both cannot reach financial close due to missing power purchase agreements, gas supply deals, and government payment guarantees.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">&#x201c;Turbine backlogs add to a lengthy list of regulatory and financial challenges delaying gas-to-power projects in Vietnam and the Philippines. Meanwhile, the rapid expansion of low-cost renewables and storage could ultimately limit the long-term role for gas and LNG,&#x201d; warned Sam Reynolds, LNG/Gas Research Lead for IEEFA Asia.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">All operational gas-fired plants in both countries use turbines from GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, and MHI, which since 2015collectively supply around 90% of global heavy-duty turbine orders. The three major turbine makers all plan to scale up manufacturing capacity to meet surging global demand:</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">GE Vernova is expanding its factories in Greenville, U.S. and Belfort, France, to boost heavy-duty turbine output.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Siemens Energy has stated it will increase production efficiency and staffing at its Berlin and Charlotte factories.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">MHI is investing in new production lines at its Takasago Works in Japan to shorten delivery lead times.</span></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><br></p> <p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">But analysts doubt these expansions will ease short-term shortages due to persistent constraints in materials, components, and skilled labour. 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