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To: [email protected]
Date: Fri, 17 Apr 2026 08:00:50 GMT
Subject: Gas to Power Weekly - 17 April - IEA warns of overreliance on China for clean energy technologies; Biomass challenges gas power on fuel costs, offsets higher Capex
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<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-weight: bold; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">LEAD ARTICLE</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold;">IEA warns of overreliance on China for clean energy technologies</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-weight: bold;">China-made electric cars, batteries and renewable power equipment dominate global markets, making the world vulnerable to supply disruption. A one-month halt in Chinese battery export would reduce e-car factory output elsewhere by $17 billion, while a similar disruption in Chinese solar panels would slash $1 billion in monthly output from solar PV module factories, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warns. </span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">In an ‘N-1’ report, the IEA assesses what would happen if the single largest supplier of a technology were removed from the market. In the event of a one-month halt in Chinese battery exports, nearly $9 billion of the losses along the supply chain would occur in the EU, while a similar halt in Chinese solar panel exports would mostly affect factories in Southeast Asia and India.</span></p>
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<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-weight: bold;">T A X</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">EU windfall tax on energy profits risks squeezing spark spreads</span></p>
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<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-weight: bold; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">M A R K E T S</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Japan faces electricity crunch as Qatari LNG flows falter</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Philippines suspend power spot market in ‘energy emergency’</span></p>
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<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-weight: bold;">P R O J E C T S</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Vietnam shifts from </span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">LNG-fuelled power to </span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">RES-plus-battery</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="font-size: 16px; color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Siemens Energy revives Libya’s Sarir plant with turbine swap</span></p>
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<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold;">Japan faces electricity crunch as Qatari LNG flows falter</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131); font-weight: bold;">Japan could face electricity shortages if Qatari LNG shipments remain disrupted. A prolonged Middle East conflict would also delay the start of additional LNG deliveries expected from 2028 new projects in Qatar and the UAE. </span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Though Japan just sources 4 million tons of LNG annually, or 6% of total imports, via the Strait of Hormuz – this volume is critical. </span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Qatari and UAE LNG deliveries provide about 3.5% of Japan’s electricity. "As this affects what is known as the power reserve margin, a 3.5% drop is by no means small, as we head into summer months," Takafumi Yanagisawa, executive analyst at the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ) pointed out.</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Australia is by far the largest supplier of LNG to Japan, though the country also buys cargoes from Malaysia, Russia and the US. Just under 60% of Japan's LNG total imports is used for electric power generation, the remainder is for city gas and industry.</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><br></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">Japanese utilities are striving to balance lost Qatari deliveries by buying additional volumes on the spot market and utilising the upper quantity tolerance (UQT) of existing contracts with suppliers, such as Australia and the US. Under the UQT, supply can be increased by around 10% of the contracted volume, subject to mutual agreement.</span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);"><span class="ql-cursor"></span></span></p>
<p style="margin: 0;"><span style="color: rgb(128, 126, 131);">“Even if the Strait is freed for navigation, reduced LNG exports from Qatar are likely to last for some time, and expansion projects could be delayed,” Yanagisawa cautioned. Before the Middle East crisis, some industry players expected the global LNG market to face a supply surplus by 2030, but that view is becoming “increasingly difficult to sustain.”     </span></p>
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Email from Gas to Power Journal Our weekly update covering everything you need to know about Natural Gas Power Generation LEAD ARTICLE IEA warns of overreliance on China for clean energy technologies China-made electric cars, batteries and renewable power equipment dominate global markets, making the world vulnerable to supply disruption. A one-month halt in Chinese battery export would reduce e-car factory output elsewhere by $17 billion, while a similar disruption in Chinese solar panels would slash $1 billion in monthly output from solar PV module factories, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warns. In an ‘N-1’ report, the IEA assesses what would happen if the single largest supplier of a technology were removed from the market. In the event of a one-month halt in Chinese battery exports, nearly $9 billion of the losses along the supply chain would occur in the EU, while a similar halt in Chinese solar panel exports would mostly affect factories in Southeast Asia and India. DOWNLOAD NOW << T A X EU windfall tax on energy profits risks squeezing spark spreads M A R K E T S Japan faces electricity crunch as Qatari LNG flows falter Philippines suspend power spot market in ‘energy emergency’ P R O J E C T S Vietnam shifts from LNG-fuelled power to RES-plus-battery Siemens Energy revives Libya’s Sarir plant with turbine swap Japan faces electricity crunch as Qatari LNG flows falter Japan could face electricity shortages if Qatari LNG shipments remain disrupted. A prolonged Middle East conflict would also delay the start of additional LNG deliveries expected from 2028 new projects in Qatar and the UAE. Though Japan just sources 4 million tons of LNG annually, or 6% of total imports, via the Strait of Hormuz – this volume is critical. Qatari and UAE LNG deliveries provide about 3.5% of Japan’s electricity. "As this affects what is known as the power reserve margin, a 3.5% drop is by no means small, as we head into summer months," Takafumi Yanagisawa, executive analyst at the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ) pointed out. Australia is by far the largest supplier of LNG to Japan, though the country also buys cargoes from Malaysia, Russia and the US. Just under 60% of Japan's LNG total imports is used for electric power generation, the remainder is for city gas and industry. Japanese utilities are striving to balance lost Qatari deliveries by buying additional volumes on the spot market and utilising the upper quantity tolerance (UQT) of existing contracts with suppliers, such as Australia and the US. Under the UQT, supply can be increased by around 10% of the contracted volume, subject to mutual agreement. “Even if the Strait is freed for navigation, reduced LNG exports from Qatar are likely to last for some time, and expansion projects could be delayed,” Yanagisawa cautioned. Before the Middle East crisis, some industry players expected the global LNG market to face a supply surplus by 2030, but that view is becoming “increasingly difficult to sustain.” Enjoyed your free read? Consider a trial subscription Follow us on social media Gas to Power Journal | 39-41 North Road | London, N79DP GB Unsubscribe | Update Profile | Constant Contact Data Notice
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